数字经济前沿文献讨论会第5期:Forest through the Trees: Building Cross-Sections of Stock Returns

发布日期: 2020-07-27 来源: 299

时间:2020年7月26日(周日)晚上6:30

形式:钉钉群视频会议

题目:Forest through the Trees: Building Cross-Sections of Stock Returns

期刊:Working paper

作者:Svetlana Bryzgalovay, Markus Pelgerz, Jason Zhux

摘要:We show how to build a cross-section of asset returns, that is, a small set of basis assets that capture complex information contained in a given set of stock characteristics. We use decision trees to generalize the concept of conventional sorting and introduce a new approach to the robust recovery of a low-dimensional set of portfolios that span the stochastic discount factor (SDF). Constructed from the same pricing signals as conventional double- or triple-sorted portfolios, our cross-sections have on average 30% higher Sharpe ratios and pricing errors relative to the leading reduced-form asset pricing models. They include long-only investment strategies that are well diversified, easily interpretable, and that could be built to reflect many characteristics at the same time. Empirically, we show that traditionally used cross-sections of portfolios and their combinations often present too low a hurdle for candidate asset pricing models, as they miss a lot of the underlying information from the original returns.

主讲人:谢秀文 博士研究生